Do I Need a Knee Replacement? What to Try First
What the guidelines say to try first, what the research shows, and how to know when surgery is the right call.
If you have been told your knee is bone on bone, a replacement can start to feel like the only road left. For most people it is not the first step, and knowing what comes before it takes a lot of the fear out of the diagnosis.
An X-ray of an arthritic knee shows the space between the bones getting narrower. People often hear that described as bone on bone, and it sounds final.
It is a picture of the joint, not a measure of how much it hurts or how well you can move. A review of the research found that X-ray findings and knee pain often do not line up. Some people with worrying-looking X-rays have little pain, and some with mild changes have a lot. The authors concluded that knee X-rays should not be used on their own to judge a person’s knee.
Australia’s clinical care standard for knee osteoarthritis goes further. It says the diagnosis can usually be made from your symptoms and an examination, and that imaging is not routinely needed to diagnose it at all.
An X-ray is a picture of your knee. It is not a prediction of your future.
The Australian Commission on Safety and Quality in Health Care sets out the care a person with knee osteoarthritis should receive in its Osteoarthritis of the Knee Clinical Care Standard (2024). The Royal Australian College of General Practitioners guideline for knee and hip osteoarthritis points the same way. Before surgery, they put:
One thing the standard specifically does not recommend: arthroscopy, sometimes called a knee clean-out. It says arthroscopic procedures should not be offered to treat uncomplicated knee osteoarthritis.
The clearest answer comes from a Danish trial published in the New England Journal of Medicine. It took 100 people with moderate to severe knee osteoarthritis who were all eligible for a knee replacement, and split them into two groups by chance.
One group had the replacement followed by rehabilitation. The other had twelve weeks of non-surgical care instead: supervised exercise, education, dietary advice, insoles and pain medication, delivered by physiotherapists and dietitians.
In the non-surgical group, 26% had gone on to have the operation by one year and 32% by two years. Put the other way, two in three people who were eligible for surgery were still going without it two years later.
It is worth being honest about the rest of the result, because it helps with the decision. On average, the people who had the replacement improved more. They also had more serious complications in the first year: 24 serious adverse events in the surgery group, compared with 6 in the non-surgical group. Both paths helped. Surgery gave bigger gains for the people who went on to need it, with more risk, and the non-surgical path let most people put surgery off.
Australian data points the same way. In GLA:D Australia’s national results, about 1 in 2 people who wanted a joint replacement when they started the GLA:D program no longer wanted one, and had not had one, a year later. Those results have no comparison group, so they show what typically happened rather than what will happen for you.
The clinical care standard is clear on this. A person whose symptoms keep getting worse, and whose daily life is severely limited even after good non-surgical care, should be referred on for further assessment, such as with an orthopaedic surgeon.
In plain terms, surgery is worth talking about when the knee keeps getting worse and is seriously restricting what you can do, even though you have given exercise and the other first steps a proper go. At that point your GP can refer you to an orthopaedic surgeon, and a knee replacement is a sensible option to discuss.
If you do go on to have surgery, the work you put in beforehand is not wasted. GLA:D Australia notes that people who complete the program before a joint replacement tend to recover faster afterwards.
Want to try the first steps properly?
GLA:D is a structured education and exercise program for knee and hip osteoarthritis, run by our physios at Yarraville and Hampton East. No referral or X-ray needed.
Not automatically. An X-ray showing little space in the joint does not decide it on its own, and X-ray findings and pain often do not match. Australian guidelines base the decision on how much your symptoms limit your life after good non-surgical care, not on the X-ray alone.
According to Australia’s clinical care standard, it is time to be referred on for further assessment when your symptoms keep getting worse and your daily life is severely limited, despite a proper go at non-surgical care such as exercise, education and support with weight. Your GP can refer you to an orthopaedic surgeon.
For many people it can avoid or put off surgery. In a trial of people who were already eligible for a knee replacement, two in three of those who did twelve weeks of supervised exercise and education first had not had surgery two years later. In GLA:D Australia’s results, about 1 in 2 people who wanted a joint replacement no longer wanted one a year after starting.
For knee osteoarthritis, no. Australia’s clinical care standard says arthroscopic procedures, sometimes called a knee clean-out, should not be offered to treat uncomplicated knee osteoarthritis.
No. The average person starting GLA:D in Australia is 66, and people from 18 to 95 have taken part. Every exercise can be made easier or harder, so you start at a level that suits your knee today.
No. GLA:D Australia notes that people who complete the program before a joint replacement tend to recover faster afterwards.
General information only. This article is general information, not advice for your situation. Everyone’s joints and health are different, so talk to your physio, GP or another health professional about your own symptoms before you start or change any treatment.